The latest model guidance is in with regards to the snow risk tomorrow morning and the latest trend is taking the snow risk much further south than previously modeled.
As we can see with the last two runs of the GFS, the worst of the precipitation looks set to come across parts of Ireland, Wales, the Midlands and SE England.
The latest high resolution data also charts a similar path, including our own data.
And here is the latest high resolution data for snowfall totals, again the areas mentioned will be affected.
Now here comes the complex part. Even though the models are in very good agreement, I wouldn’t rule a shift in path even this late on which could take the snow risk further north or indeed south. I will again be monitoring the latest observations and model runs and if any changes occur i will update further.